Analyzed by Dr.Masood Tariq
After resignation of M.Q.M from Federal and Sindh Government, Scenario of National and Sindh Politics are very exciting. At present 4 major political players i.e.; Asif Zardari (P.P.P), Nawaz Sharif (P.M.L (N), Altaf Hussain (M.Q.M) and Ch.Shujaat (P.M.L (Q) have winning and losing moves on political chess board, especially in case of early election in 2012.
- Asif Zardari have options;
i). (Winning option). Reconcile with P.P.P. (B.B Block). It will help to organizing and systemizing the party at gross root level and to close down the confusion in P.P.P voters, supporters, workers and leaders. It will facilitate the P.P.P to be the strongest party of Sindhi masses (The actual vote bank of P.P.P in Sindh). Defiantly it will benefit the Asif Zardari in Sindh during general election.
i). (Losing option). Again reconcile with M.Q.M. It will facilitate the P.M.L (N) to organizing and systemizing the party at gross root level in Sindh and to cash the emotions of P.P.P voters, supporters, workers and leaders. It will make easy for P.M.L (N) to obtain the support of Sindhi masses (The actual vote bank of P.P.P in Sindh). Defiantly it will harm the Asif Zardari in Sindh during general election.
ii). (Winning option). Appoint a governor in Sindh as a replacement of M.Q.M governor. He have the ability to coordinate with Mohajir’s, Punjabis and Pukhtoon’s to resolve their genuine grievances along with their social interaction with Sindhis (The actual vote bank of P.P.P in Sindh). It will help to reduce the distrust and misunderstandings among different communities of Sindh and facilitate to bring them close with P.P.P. On one hand it will politically deteriorate the M.Q.M in Mohajir’s and on other hand it will defuse the possible political support for Nawaz Sharif in Sindh. Defiantly it will benefit the Asif Zardari in Sindh during general election.
ii). (Losing option) Appoint a governor in Sindh as a replacement of M.Q.M governor. He don’t have the ability to coordinate with Mohajir’s, Punjabis and Pukhtoon’s to resolve their genuine grievances along with their social interaction with Sindhis (The actual vote bank of P.P.P in Sindh). It will boost the distrust and misunderstandings of different non- Sindhi communities of Sindh with Sindhis (The actual vote bank of P.P.P in Sindh) and facilitate to bring them close with each other. On one hand it will politically improve the political support of M.Q.M in Mohajir’s and on other hand it will develop the atmosphere of political support to Nawaz Sharif in Sindh. Defiantly it will harm the Asif Zardari in Sindh during general election.
iii). (Winning option). Generate strong working relationship with P.M.L (Q) to complete the number game in parliament. Defiantly it will benefit the Asif Zardari to complete the tenure of government.
iii). (Losing option). Generate weak working relationship with P.M.L (Q) to complete the number game in parliament. Defiantly it will harm the Asif Zardari to complete the tenure of government.
2. Nawaz Sharif have options;
i). (Winning option). Build a strong working relationship with P.P.P (B.B Block) parliamentarians to enhance the number game in parliament and to respond Asif Zardari in Sindh. Defiantly it will benefit the Nawaz Sharif to organizing and systemizing the P.M.L (N) at gross root level in Sindh and to cash the confusion of P.P.P voters, supporters, workers and leaders. It will facilitate the P.M.L (N) to be the strongest party of Sindh with support of Sindhis, Punjabis, and Non-M.Q.M Mohajir’s. Defiantly it will harm the Asif Zardari in Sindh during general election.
i). (Losing option). Build a strong working relationship with M.Q.M to enhance the number game in parliament and to respond Asif Zardari in Sindh. Defiantly it will damage the Nawaz Sharif to organizing and systemizing the P.M.L (N) at gross root level in Sindh. It will also activate the emotions of Sindhi masses and facilitate the P.P.P to be the strongest party of Sindhi masses (The actual vote bank of P.P.P in Sindh). Defiantly it will hurt the Nawaz Sharif in Sindh during general election.
ii). (Winning option). Build a strong working relationship with A.N.P or J.U.I and Politicians from Baluchistan. Defiantly it will help to enhance the political support of Nawaz Sharif and shrink the political support of Asif Zardari in Baluchistan and Khyber Pakhtoonkhwa.
ii). (Losing option). Not to build a strong working relationship with the A.N.P or J.U.I and Politicians from Baluchistan. Defiantly it will help to enhance the political support of Asif Zardari and shrink the political support of Nawaz Sharif in Baluchistan and Khyber Pakhtoonkhwa.
iii). (Winning option). Reconcile with P.M.L (Q) including Ch.Shujaat or the majority of parliamentarians of P.M.L (Q). It will be helpful to dominate the number game in parliament. Defiantly it will harm the Asif Zardari to complete the tenure of government.
iii). (Losing option). Not to reconcile with P.M.L (Q) including Ch.Shujaat or the majority of parliamentarians of P.M.L (Q). It will obstruct to dominate the number game in parliament. Defiantly it will benefit the Asif Zardari to complete the tenure of government.
3. Altaf Hussain have options;
i). (Winning option). Again reconcile with Asif Zardari to join the government of P.P.P at term and conditions of M.Q.M. It will help to save the political interests of M.Q.M in Karachi.
i). (Losing option). Again reconcile with Asif Zardari to join the government of P.P.P at term and conditions of Asif Zardari. It will hinder to save the political interests of M.Q.M in Karachi.
ii). (Winning option). Reconcile with P.M.L (N) to join the opposition as a strong player at term and conditions of M.Q.M. It will help to save the political interests of M.Q.M in Karachi.
ii). (Losing option). Reconcile with P.M.L (N) to join the opposition as a weak player at term and conditions of Nawaz Sharif. It will hinder to save the political interests of M.Q.M in Karachi.
iii). (Winning option). Seek the support of Ch.Shujaat to pressurize the government for reconciliation with M.Q.M, otherwise P.M.L (Q) have to put down the government. It will help to save the political interests of M.Q.M in Karachi.
iii). (Losing option). Not to seek the support of Ch.Shujaat to pressurize the government for reconciliation with M.Q.M, otherwise P.M.L (Q) have to put down the government. It will hinder to save the political interests of M.Q.M in Karachi.
4. Ch.Shujaat have options;
i). (Winning option). Reconcile with Nawaz Sharif to join the opposition or to emerge the P.M.L (Q) in P.M.L (N) at term and conditions of Ch.Shujaat. It will help to save the political interests of Ch.Shujaat and P.M.L (Q) leaders in Punjab and during general election.
i). (Losing option). Reconcile with Nawaz Sharif to join the opposition or to emerge the P.M.L (Q) in P.M.L (N) at term and conditions of Nawaz Sharif. It will make the Ch.Shujaat and P.M.L (Q) leader’s dependent upon Nawaz Sharif to look after the political interests of Ch.Shujaat and P.M.L (Q) leader’s in Punjab and during general election.
ii). (Winning option). Work with Asif Zardari by way of assurance to maintain the numbers in parliament as a result of keeping the P.M.L (Q) parliamentarians in contact by enhancing the share of P.M.L (Q) in the government. It will help to save the political interests of Ch.Shujaat and P.M.L (Q) leaders in federal government and during general election.
ii). (Losing option). Work with Asif Zardari by way of assurance to maintain the numbers in parliament as a result of keeping the P.M.L (Q) parliamentarians in contact and without enhancing the share of P.M.L (Q) in the government. It will make the Ch.Shujaat and P.M.L (Q) leader’s dependent upon Asif Zardari to look after the political interests of Ch.Shujaat and P.M.L (Q) leader’s in federal government and during general election.
iii). (Winning option). After getting the M.Q.M in confidence, pressurize the Asif Zardari to reconcile with M.Q.M and to enhance the share of P.M.L (Q) in the government, otherwise P.M.L (Q) will depart the government to make it a minority government. It will make the Ch.Shujaat a strong leader and P.M.L (Q) a leading party in the government. It will help to save the political interests of Ch.Shujaat and P.M.L (Q) leaders in federal government, Punjab and Sindh. It will also benefit the P.M.L (Q) during general election.
iii). (Losing option). After getting the M.Q.M in confidence, pressurize the Asif Zardari to reconcile with M.Q.M by providing the same positions in government i.e.; governor Sindh, federal ministers and Sindh ministers, otherwise P.M.L (Q) will depart the government to make it a minority government. It will make the Ch.Shujaat and P.M.L (Q) leader’s dependent upon Asif Zardari to look after the political interests of Ch.Shujaat and P.M.L (Q) leader’s in federal and Sindh government and during general election.
NOTE: - Moves are subject to the ability, capability and capacity of the players. If any player is not able to set out winning move then it is his fault. It indicates the incompetency of the player.
PRECAUTION:- Non-democratic and Un-constitutional Actions by the Establishment or Non-Political and Un-ethical Activities by the National and Provincial Level Politicians along with Un-organized and Non-systemized Political Parties, will Abrupt the Situation and Lead the Country towards a Failure and Malfunctioning State by way of Strong Personalities and War Lords.
INTIMATION: - To observe, face and counter the interests and proxy facilitation, motivation & plantation of international players and moves of Pak-establishment is the subject of the national political players. I am not bond to help the players, because it is not my job.
SUGGESTION: - In Democratic Political System, Government cannot be formed without Election Victory by Public Support through Political Party. However, in Pakistan, Political Parties were never Organized and Systemized by the Party Owners according to the Political Ethics and Manners, along with Party Manifesto. Therefore, most of Political Parties work like Public Ltd. Companies and have their own Sole Agents, Distributors and Salesman’s. Because of that most of the Politicians have their Own Paid Workers and Working Partners. They behave with the Political Workers like Customers and they treat the General Public like Slaves. Therefore, Public is Disappointed, Dissatisfied, Disillusioned from Politicians and Political Parties. Whereas, Political Leaders are Dependent on Establishment for Leadership and Governance, like the Owners of Public Ltd. Companies always remain Dependent on Government Departments.
Therefore, Political Parties of Pakistan needs to be Organized Appropriately by Considering the Necessity of Cadres at Union Council, Tehsil, District, Province and National level. These "Cadres" should include Persons:
(a) Those possess Intellectual Wisdom to Prepare Proper Plans and Programs. (Leaders or Initiators)
(b) Those have Organizational Skill to Organize and Systematize the Party. (Workers or Motivators)
(c) Those are Socially Well Respected among the Masses and Capable to Impress the Public. (Supporters or Actors)
For the reason that, Grooming of Local, Provincial and National Leadership is not possible without Well Organized and Systemized Political Parties, as per Party Manifesto and according to the Political Ethics and Manners. Otherwise, Un-groomed Politicians and Un-organized and Non-systemized Political Parties will have to dependent on Establishment for Purpose of Leadership and Governance. Moreover, Dictatorial Rulers and Puppet Politicians will remain be the choice for International, Regional and Supporting Players and none of the political government will be able to redress economical disaster, social polarization, administrative victimization and judicial injustice.
IMPORTANT: - My analysis “Hard Time for PAK-US Establishment” is a related article to the existing situation of Pakistan. Hope you will like to read it.
REQUEST: - I will be thankful for your feedback.
Dr_masood_tariq@hotmail.com
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